Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 17:30
13.7724.8%
X3.5126.7%
21.9348.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Guimaraes
DDWWWLWLWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
Porto
LWWWDWDWWW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.00
0.80
Conceded
0.90
30%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.60
1.40
2H goals
1.30
90%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

8.50N=10
For
6.00N=10
3.60
Against
3.20
12.10
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.00
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.90
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Guimaraes attack

1.70goals per match
Porto conceded0.90
Matchup

Porto attack

2.00goals per match
Guimaraes conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
1.10
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.90
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.40
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
8.50N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
3.60
Corners against
3.20
12.10
Match total
9.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
70%7/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.60N=10
For
3.10N=10
5.70
Match total
6.20
90%9/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.40N=10
Committed
15.20N=10
29.90
Match total
30.40

Shots

14.40N=10
Shots
14.30N=10
5.00
On target
5.30
12%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches28
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.8%25.0%+0.2 pp
Draw26.7%25.0%-1.7 pp
Away48.5%50.0%+1.5 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.525.0%
BTTS64.3%

Historical average

1.071.75

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-117.9%
1-217.9%
2-114.3%
0-410.7%
0-07.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.366.32
Average total10.68

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=28.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.7%
Over 9.553.6%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.535.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT45.5%21.3%–72.0% CI
Away FT36.4%15.2%–64.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals27.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.4%
Away54.5%