Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 15:00
12.2940.9%
X2.9931.3%
23.3727.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetMaritimo: 10/10 · Pacos Ferreira: 9/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Maritimo
DLLWDDDWDL
2W 5D 3L · 1.10 PPM
Pacos Ferreira
LDLLLLWDL
1W 2D 6L · 0.56 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
0.56
1.40
Conceded
1.78
50%
Over 2.5
33%
80%
BTTS
33%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.78
1.40
2H goals
1.56
70%
Goal in 2H
67%
Corners
5.50N=10
For
4.67N=9
6.30
Against
5.78
11.80
Total
10.44
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 6/9 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 7/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=9
1.20
Goals scored
0.56
1.40
Goals conceded
1.78
2.60
Total goals
2.33
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Maritimo attack
1.20goals per matchPacos Ferreira conceded1.78Matchup
Pacos Ferreira attack
0.56goals per matchMaritimo conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.50
1H goals scored
0.22
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.56
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.33
0.70
2H goals conceded
1.22
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.50N=10
Corners for
4.67N=9
6.30
Corners against
5.78
11.80
Match total
10.44
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.80N=10
For
3.67N=9
6.70
Match total
5.56
Over 3.5
Fouls
16.00N=10
Committed
18.22N=9
34.90
Match total
35.11
Shots
10.60N=10
Shots
8.22N=9
3.70
On target
2.33
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches82
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home40.9%43.9%+3.0 pp
Draw31.3%32.9%+1.6 pp
Away27.8%23.2%-4.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.514.6%
BTTS50.0%
Historical average
1.27–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-115.9%
0-013.4%
1-013.4%
2-111.0%
2-09.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.33–3.93
Average total9.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=82.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.553.7%
Over 9.540.2%
Over 10.530.5%
Over 11.523.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT38.2%23.9%–55.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%34.1%–65.9% CI
Away FT11.8%4.7%–26.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal67.6%
2+ goals41.2%
3+ goals23.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.8%
Away38.2%