Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 15:00
11.8351.3%
X3.2828.6%
24.6620.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Boavista
WDDDWLLDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Belenenses
DDWLLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.70
Against
7.10
10.90
Total
12.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.60
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Boavista attack

1.00goals per match
Belenenses conceded1.80
Matchup

Belenenses attack

0.80goals per match
Boavista conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
50%5/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
70%7/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.70
Corners against
7.10
10.90
Match total
12.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

3.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.70
Match total
4.30
90%9/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

18.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
34.20
Match total
29.50

Shots

9.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.00
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.3%58.8%+7.6 pp
Draw28.6%17.6%-11.0 pp
Away20.1%23.5%+3.4 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS35.3%

Historical average

1.380.97

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-032.4%
2-011.8%
2-28.8%
0-18.8%
0-25.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.123.68
Average total8.79

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.526.5%
Over 10.520.6%
Over 11.511.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.30

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.0%
Away40.0%