Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-16 · 15:00
11.8351.3%
X3.2828.6%
24.6620.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
WDDDWLLDLW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Belenenses
DDWLLLWLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.80
1.00
Conceded
1.80
20%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.80
1.00
2H goals
1.80
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
4.20N=10
For
5.00N=10
6.70
Against
7.10
10.90
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.80
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
2.00
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
1.00goals per matchBelenenses conceded1.80Matchup
Belenenses attack
0.80goals per matchBoavista conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.40
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.20N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
6.70
Corners against
7.10
10.90
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.70N=10
For
2.60N=10
6.70
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.30N=10
Committed
15.60N=10
34.20
Match total
29.50
Shots
9.90N=10
Shots
8.90N=10
3.00
On target
3.00
10%
Conversion
9%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches34
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.3%58.8%+7.6 pp
Draw28.6%17.6%-11.0 pp
Away20.1%23.5%+3.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.555.9%
Over 2.535.3%
Over 3.526.5%
BTTS35.3%
Historical average
1.38–0.97
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-032.4%
2-011.8%
2-28.8%
0-18.8%
0-25.9%
Comparable corner averages
5.12–3.68
Average total8.79
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=34.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.555.9%
Over 9.526.5%
Over 10.520.6%
Over 11.511.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT50.0%23.7%–76.3% CI
Draw FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Away FT40.0%16.8%–68.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.0%
2+ goals30.0%
3+ goals10.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.0%
Away40.0%