Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 20:30
12.4837.7%
X3.2528.8%
22.7933.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Rio Ave
WDLLDWWLWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Sp Lisbon
DWDWWLLWWL
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.60
1.10
Conceded
1.00
30%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.40
1H goals
1.20
1.20
2H goals
1.40
60%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.50N=10
4.10
Against
3.50
9.70
Total
10.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.60
1.10
Goals conceded
1.00
2.60
Total goals
2.60
60%6/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Rio Ave attack

1.50goals per match
Sp Lisbon conceded1.00
Matchup

Sp Lisbon attack

1.60goals per match
Rio Ave conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.50
9.70
Match total
10.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.70N=10
For
3.50N=10
4.40
Match total
6.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.70N=10
Committed
14.70N=10
31.90
Match total
29.30

Shots

10.60N=10
Shots
13.50N=10
3.80
On target
4.40
14%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.7%36.8%-0.9 pp
Draw28.8%25.0%-3.8 pp
Away33.5%38.2%+4.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.1%
Over 2.545.6%
Over 3.519.1%
BTTS48.5%

Historical average

1.151.22

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-016.2%
1-113.2%
0-110.3%
1-210.3%
2-18.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.784.26
Average total10.04

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.539.7%
Over 11.535.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT18.2%7.3%–38.5% CI
Away FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.77

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.4%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals31.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.2%
Away54.5%