Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:30
12.1344.0%
X3.1230.1%
23.6225.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Santa Clara
LDWWDLLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Tondela
DWWDWLWLLW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

0.80
Scored
1.30
1.30
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.20
1.30
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.20N=10
4.30
Against
6.00
10.50
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
2.10
Total goals
2.50
70%7/10
Over 1.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Santa Clara attack

0.80goals per match
Tondela conceded1.20
Matchup

Tondela attack

1.30goals per match
Santa Clara conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.70
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.20N=10
4.30
Corners against
6.00
10.50
Match total
9.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.20N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Match total
5.90
70%7/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

12.90N=10
Committed
15.40N=10
28.80
Match total
32.00

Shots

14.60N=10
Shots
7.60N=10
4.00
On target
2.90
5%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches105
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.0%39.0%-5.0 pp
Draw30.1%36.2%+6.1 pp
Away25.9%24.8%-1.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.537.1%
Over 3.515.2%
BTTS45.7%

Historical average

1.200.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.2%
0-014.3%
1-010.5%
2-09.5%
2-18.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.544.23
Average total9.77

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=105.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.561.0%
Over 9.549.5%
Over 10.536.2%
Over 11.527.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT29.5%18.2%–44.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%35.8%–64.2% CI
Away FT20.5%11.2%–34.5% CI

Remaining goals

1.16

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal65.9%
2+ goals36.4%
3+ goals11.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home47.7%
Away43.2%