Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-15 · 15:30
12.1244.2%
X3.2129.2%
23.5326.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetPortimonense: 9/10 · Moreirense: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Portimonense
DLLLDWDDL
1W 4D 4L · 0.78 PPM
Moreirense
LDLLDDLLDW
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
0.78
Scored
1.20
1.22
Conceded
1.50
33%
Over 2.5
40%
56%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.11
1H goals
0.80
0.89
2H goals
1.90
56%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
3.67N=9
For
2.90N=10
5.11
Against
6.50
8.78
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/9 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
0.78
Goals scored
1.20
1.22
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.70
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.78goals per matchMoreirense conceded1.50Matchup
Moreirense attack
1.20goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.22Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.33
1H goals scored
0.30
0.78
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.44
2H goals scored
0.90
0.44
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
3.67N=9
Corners for
2.90N=10
5.11
Corners against
6.50
8.78
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.22N=9
For
2.80N=10
4.22
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.78N=9
Committed
17.00N=10
31.89
Match total
31.00
Shots
12.56N=9
Shots
8.60N=10
4.33
On target
3.00
6%
Conversion
14%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches107
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.2%45.8%+1.6 pp
Draw29.2%37.4%+8.2 pp
Away26.6%16.8%-9.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.570.1%
Over 2.540.2%
Over 3.524.3%
BTTS55.1%
Historical average
1.46–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
0-015.0%
2-010.3%
1-09.3%
2-17.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–4.35
Average total9.37
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=107.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.0%
Over 9.547.7%
Over 10.537.4%
Over 11.525.2%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches44
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%23.8%–51.1% CI
Draw FT47.7%33.8%–62.1% CI
Away FT15.9%7.9%–29.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.16
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.6%
2+ goals31.8%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.0%
Away36.4%