Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 20:30
12.7234.5%
X2.8932.4%
22.8333.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Setubal
DDWDDWDWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLLWLDDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%

By half

0.40
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.30
Total goals
2.20
30%3/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
20%2/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Setubal attack

0.50goals per match
Gil Vicente conceded1.50
Matchup

Gil Vicente attack

0.70goals per match
Setubal conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
20%2/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
0%0/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
60%6/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10

Fouls

14.80N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
29.90
Match total
35.00

Shots

10.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
2.60
On target
4.10
5%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%41.9%+7.4 pp
Draw32.4%30.2%-2.2 pp
Away33.1%27.9%-5.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.511.6%
BTTS51.2%

Historical average

1.210.93

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-123.3%
1-018.6%
1-211.6%
2-011.6%
0-17.0%

Comparable corner averages

4.284.35
Average total8.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.511.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI

Remaining goals

1.59

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home77.3%
Away50.0%