Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-14 · 20:30
12.7234.5%
X2.8932.4%
22.8333.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Setubal
DDWDDWDWLL
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Gil Vicente
LLLLWLDDLD
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
0.70
0.80
Conceded
1.50
20%
Over 2.5
50%
20%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.40
1H goals
1.30
0.90
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
4.20N=10
5.60
Against
5.90
10.30
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
0.70
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
1.30
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Setubal attack
0.50goals per matchGil Vicente conceded1.50Matchup
Gil Vicente attack
0.70goals per matchSetubal conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.00
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.20N=10
5.60
Corners against
5.90
10.30
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
2.40N=10
4.80
Match total
4.40
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
18.00N=10
29.90
Match total
35.00
Shots
10.20N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
2.60
On target
4.10
5%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches43
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home34.5%41.9%+7.4 pp
Draw32.4%30.2%-2.2 pp
Away33.1%27.9%-5.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.8%
Over 2.530.2%
Over 3.511.6%
BTTS51.2%
Historical average
1.21–0.93
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-123.3%
1-018.6%
1-211.6%
2-011.6%
0-17.0%
Comparable corner averages
4.28–4.35
Average total8.63
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=43.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.560.5%
Over 9.546.5%
Over 10.527.9%
Over 11.511.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches22
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.9%23.3%–61.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%16.4%–52.7% CI
Away FT27.3%13.2%–48.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals13.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home77.3%
Away50.0%