Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-09 · 17:30
11.4464.9%
X4.5020.8%
26.5414.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetSp Lisbon: 9/10 · Portimonense: 10/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Sp Lisbon
WLLWWWLLW
5W 0D 4L · 1.67 PPM
Portimonense
WLDDLDLDLL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.44
Scored
0.60
1.22
Conceded
1.60
56%
Over 2.5
40%
56%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.67
2H goals
1.30
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.33N=9
For
3.40N=10
3.89
Against
3.90
9.22
Total
7.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/9 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=10
1.44
Goals scored
0.60
1.22
Goals conceded
1.60
2.67
Total goals
2.20
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Sp Lisbon attack
1.44goals per matchPortimonense conceded1.60Matchup
Portimonense attack
0.60goals per matchSp Lisbon conceded1.22Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=10
0.78
1H goals scored
0.40
0.22
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.67
2H goals scored
0.20
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=10
5.33N=9
Corners for
3.40N=10
3.89
Corners against
3.90
9.22
Match total
7.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.00N=9
For
2.30N=10
6.22
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
15.22N=9
Committed
14.70N=10
28.89
Match total
31.30
Shots
15.00N=9
Shots
10.00N=10
5.44
On target
3.10
10%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches23
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.9%87.0%+22.0 pp
Draw20.8%8.7%-12.1 pp
Away14.3%4.3%-9.9 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.569.6%
Over 3.543.5%
BTTS43.5%
Historical average
3.04–0.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-017.4%
3-113.0%
3-013.0%
2-113.0%
5-08.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.96–3.17
Average total10.13
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=23.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.2%
Over 9.543.5%
Over 10.534.8%
Over 11.530.4%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.8%52.3%–94.9% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–25.9% CI
Remaining goals
2.18
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal90.9%
2+ goals72.7%
3+ goals54.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home90.9%
Away27.3%