Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-02-02 · 20:00
14.3121.8%
X3.5226.7%
21.8251.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetBoavista: 9/10 · Guimaraes: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Boavista
WDDDWLLDL
2W 4D 3L · 1.11 PPM
Guimaraes
LDWLDDDD
1W 5D 2L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.89
Scored
1.13
1.11
Conceded
1.50
22%
Over 2.5
50%
56%
BTTS
75%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.38
1.00
2H goals
1.25
67%
Goal in 2H
63%
Corners
4.56N=9
For
7.63N=8
6.22
Against
5.50
10.78
Total
13.13
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/9 home-side sample · 5/8 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/9 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=8
0.89
Goals scored
1.13
1.11
Goals conceded
1.50
2.00
Total goals
2.63
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Boavista attack
0.89goals per matchGuimaraes conceded1.50Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.13goals per matchBoavista conceded1.11Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=8
0.56
1H goals scored
0.50
0.44
1H goals conceded
0.88
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.33
2H goals scored
0.63
0.67
2H goals conceded
0.63
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=8
4.56N=9
Corners for
7.63N=8
6.22
Corners against
5.50
10.78
Match total
13.13
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
3.56N=9
For
2.13N=8
6.67
Match total
4.63
Over 3.5
Fouls
18.00N=9
Committed
14.00N=8
34.11
Match total
28.88
Shots
10.00N=9
Shots
14.38N=8
2.78
On target
5.25
9%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home21.8%47.4%+25.6 pp
Draw26.7%21.1%-5.6 pp
Away51.6%31.6%-20.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.563.2%
Over 2.531.6%
Over 3.510.5%
BTTS36.8%
Historical average
1.16–0.84
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-015.8%
1-015.8%
0-115.8%
1-115.8%
1-210.5%
Comparable corner averages
3.74–6.16
Average total9.89
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.557.9%
Over 9.547.4%
Over 10.531.6%
Over 11.531.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT25.0%8.9%–53.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.17
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals8.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home58.3%
Away50.0%