Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-27 · 18:45
11.6556.7%
X3.7225.1%
25.1418.2%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetGuimaraes: 9/10 · Rio Ave: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Guimaraes
DDWWWLWLW
5W 2D 2L · 1.89 PPM
Rio Ave
LWWDLLDW
3W 2D 3L · 1.38 PPM
Goals
1.78
Scored
0.88
0.67
Conceded
1.00
22%
Over 2.5
13%
33%
BTTS
25%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.75
1.44
2H goals
1.13
89%
Goal in 2H
88%
Corners
7.89N=9
For
2.38N=8
3.89
Against
4.63
11.78
Total
7.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/9 home-side sample · 7/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=9 N=8
1.78
Goals scored
0.88
0.67
Goals conceded
1.00
2.44
Total goals
1.88
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Guimaraes attack
1.78goals per matchRio Ave conceded1.00Matchup
Rio Ave attack
0.88goals per matchGuimaraes conceded0.67Timing
First & second half
N=9 N=8
0.67
1H goals scored
0.38
0.33
1H goals conceded
0.38
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.11
2H goals scored
0.50
0.33
2H goals conceded
0.63
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=9 N=8
7.89N=9
Corners for
2.38N=8
3.89
Corners against
4.63
11.78
Match total
7.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.89N=9
For
2.38N=8
5.89
Match total
4.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.44N=9
Committed
15.00N=8
29.67
Match total
31.75
Shots
14.44N=9
Shots
8.13N=8
4.78
On target
1.88
12%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches45
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.7%53.3%-3.3 pp
Draw25.1%22.2%-2.9 pp
Away18.2%24.4%+6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.566.7%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.526.7%
BTTS51.1%
Historical average
1.60–0.91
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-015.6%
0-113.3%
1-111.1%
2-111.1%
1-26.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.60–3.87
Average total10.47
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=45.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.9%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.544.4%
Over 11.535.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches18
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.4%24.6%–66.3% CI
Draw FT33.3%16.3%–56.3% CI
Away FT22.2%9.0%–45.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.33
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.9%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals5.6%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.7%
Away44.4%