Primeira Liga · 2019/20
2020-01-26 · 15:00
12.1044.6%
X3.0830.4%
23.7525.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Current-season sample is not complete yetTondela: 8/10 · Setubal: 8/10 in the selected Home / Away context. Stats below use only 2019/20 by default.
Include previous seasonsQuick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Tondela
LDLLWLDD
1W 3D 4L · 0.75 PPM
Setubal
LDLDLWLW
2W 2D 4L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
0.63
Scored
0.63
1.13
Conceded
1.50
25%
Over 2.5
38%
50%
BTTS
25%
By half
1.13
1H goals
1.00
0.63
2H goals
1.13
50%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.63N=8
For
3.63N=8
5.50
Against
8.00
10.13
Total
11.63
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
5/8 home-side sample · 6/8 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=8 N=8
0.63
Goals scored
0.63
1.13
Goals conceded
1.50
1.75
Total goals
2.13
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Tondela attack
0.63goals per matchSetubal conceded1.50Matchup
Setubal attack
0.63goals per matchTondela conceded1.13Timing
First & second half
N=8 N=8
0.25
1H goals scored
0.38
0.88
1H goals conceded
0.63
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.38
2H goals scored
0.25
0.25
2H goals conceded
0.88
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=8 N=8
4.63N=8
Corners for
3.63N=8
5.50
Corners against
8.00
10.13
Match total
11.63
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.88N=8
For
3.63N=8
4.38
Match total
5.88
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.13N=8
Committed
14.63N=8
29.75
Match total
30.88
Shots
9.50N=8
Shots
8.25N=8
3.13
On target
3.25
7%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches73
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home44.6%35.6%-9.0 pp
Draw30.4%37.0%+6.6 pp
Away25.0%27.4%+2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.567.1%
Over 2.535.6%
Over 3.515.1%
BTTS46.6%
Historical average
1.19–0.99
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.8%
0-013.7%
1-011.0%
2-09.6%
1-28.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.53–4.23
Average total9.77
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=73.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.549.3%
Over 10.537.0%
Over 11.528.8%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches27
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT25.9%13.2%–44.7% CI
Draw FT51.9%34.0%–69.3% CI
Away FT22.2%10.6%–40.8% CI
Remaining goals
0.96
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal63.0%
2+ goals29.6%
3+ goals3.7%
Who scores in 2H
Home44.4%
Away37.0%