First Division A · 2025/26
2026-05-23 · 19:45
13.5426.0%
X3.7324.7%
21.8749.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
LDDWLWLLLW
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Genk
DLWWLDWWLD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
1.80
40%
Over 2.5
80%
30%
BTTS
80%
By half
0.90
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
2.30
70%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
6.30
Against
5.10
12.60
Total
7.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
10/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
1.80
2.40
Total goals
3.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack
1.00goals per matchGenk conceded1.80Matchup
Genk attack
1.80goals per matchOud-Heverlee Leuven conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.30
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
6.30
Corners against
5.10
12.60
Match total
7.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.60
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.70N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
24.30
Match total
22.00
Shots
15.00N=10
Shots
11.70N=10
4.60
On target
5.10
7%
Conversion
15%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches286
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home26.0%25.2%-0.9 pp
Draw24.7%22.7%-2.0 pp
Away49.3%52.1%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.533.6%
BTTS58.4%
Historical average
1.20–1.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-212.6%
1-110.1%
0-28.0%
1-07.3%
0-16.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.38–5.34
Average total9.72
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=286.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.3%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.538.5%
Over 11.526.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches83
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT27.7%19.2%–38.2% CI
Draw FT31.3%22.4%–41.9% CI
Away FT41.0%31.0%–51.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.76
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals57.8%
3+ goals26.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home50.6%
Away62.7%