First Division A · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:15
13.0829.8%
X3.4326.8%
22.1243.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Standard
LLLWDDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Genk
LDLWWLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

0.90
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
8.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
60%6/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Standard attack

0.90goals per match
Genk conceded2.10
Matchup

Genk attack

1.80goals per match
Standard conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
60%6/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
8.30
60%6/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
60%6/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.00
Match total
22.40

Shots

9.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.60
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.8%28.3%-1.5 pp
Draw26.8%29.3%+2.5 pp
Away43.4%42.4%-1.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS59.0%

Historical average

1.241.52

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
2-18.8%
1-28.6%
0-28.3%
0-18.1%

Comparable corner averages

4.665.34
Average total10.00

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.7%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%9.8%–23.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%33.6%–51.6% CI
Away FT42.3%33.6%–51.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals23.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home36.9%
Away64.9%