First Division A · 2025/26
2026-05-16 · 17:15
13.0829.8%
X3.4326.8%
22.1243.4%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Standard
LLLWDDDLLW
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Genk
LDLWWLDWWL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
0.90
Scored
1.80
1.40
Conceded
2.10
50%
Over 2.5
90%
60%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.50
1.30
2H goals
2.40
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
3.40N=10
5.20
Against
4.90
9.80
Total
8.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.90
Goals scored
1.80
1.40
Goals conceded
2.10
2.30
Total goals
3.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Standard attack
0.90goals per matchGenk conceded2.10Matchup
Genk attack
1.80goals per matchStandard conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
3.40N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.90
9.80
Match total
8.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.40N=10
4.10
Match total
3.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.40N=10
Committed
11.10N=10
23.00
Match total
22.40
Shots
9.40N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
2.60
On target
5.40
10%
Conversion
16%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches420
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home29.8%28.3%-1.5 pp
Draw26.8%29.3%+2.5 pp
Away43.4%42.4%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%
BTTS59.0%
Historical average
1.24–1.52
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
2-18.8%
1-28.6%
0-28.3%
0-18.1%
Comparable corner averages
4.66–5.34
Average total10.00
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=419.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.564.7%
Over 9.553.7%
Over 10.543.2%
Over 11.531.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches111
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT15.3%9.8%–23.2% CI
Draw FT42.3%33.6%–51.6% CI
Away FT42.3%33.6%–51.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.52
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.1%
2+ goals47.7%
3+ goals23.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home36.9%
Away64.9%