First Division A · 2025/26
2026-05-03 · 12:30
12.5636.2%
X3.4826.6%
22.4937.2%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mechelen
WDDWLWWLLL
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Gent
DDLWDWLWLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
5.50
Against
7.90
9.80
Total
10.90
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mechelen attack

1.20goals per match
Gent conceded1.30
Matchup

Gent attack

1.40goals per match
Mechelen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.50
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
7.90
9.80
Match total
10.90
80%8/10
Over 8.5
80%8/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
5.40
Match total
2.60
70%7/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
9.40N=10
24.20
Match total
20.60

Shots

10.80N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
3.50
On target
4.20
11%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches531
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home36.2%34.1%-2.1 pp
Draw26.6%29.6%+2.9 pp
Away37.2%36.3%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.3%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.530.3%
BTTS63.1%

Historical average

1.381.46

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.0%
1-28.9%
2-18.7%
1-07.3%
2-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.184.94
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=531.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.554.2%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches140
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.4%28.9%–44.7% CI
Draw FT32.9%25.6%–41.0% CI
Away FT30.7%23.7%–38.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.79

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal84.3%
2+ goals56.4%
3+ goals22.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home61.4%
Away57.1%