First Division A · 2025/26
2026-05-02 · 17:15
12.7333.8%
X3.5026.3%
22.3139.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charleroi
DDDWLLLLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Genk
DLDLWWLDWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM

Goals

1.40
Scored
1.90
1.70
Conceded
2.00
60%
Over 2.5
90%
70%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.60
1.90
2H goals
2.30
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

6.30N=10
For
3.00N=10
4.70
Against
5.20
11.00
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.90
1.70
Goals conceded
2.00
3.10
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Charleroi attack

1.40goals per match
Genk conceded2.00
Matchup

Genk attack

1.90goals per match
Charleroi conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.90
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.00
1.10
2H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.30N=10
Corners for
3.00N=10
4.70
Corners against
5.20
11.00
Match total
8.20
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
20%2/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.60
Match total
3.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

10.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.00
Match total
21.90

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.40
On target
5.20
8%
Conversion
17%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches279
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.8%33.7%-0.1 pp
Draw26.3%29.7%+3.4 pp
Away39.9%36.6%-3.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.1%
Over 2.553.4%
Over 3.532.6%
BTTS62.4%

Historical average

1.411.48

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-115.1%
1-28.2%
2-17.9%
2-07.5%
0-06.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.145.06
Average total10.20

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=279.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.570.3%
Over 9.554.8%
Over 10.545.2%
Over 11.533.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches76
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT30.3%21.1%–41.3% CI
Draw FT46.1%35.3%–57.2% CI
Away FT23.7%15.5%–34.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.75

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.0%
2+ goals55.3%
3+ goals22.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.5%
Away51.3%