First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-22 · 19:30
11.4464.5%
X4.2821.7%
26.7013.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St. Gilloise
DWWWWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Gent
LDDLWDWLWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.60
Scored
1.40
0.50
Conceded
1.70
40%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.10
1.10
2H goals
2.00
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.80N=10
2.40
Against
7.00
8.80
Total
10.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.40
0.50
Goals conceded
1.70
2.10
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
1.60goals per matchGent conceded1.70Matchup
Gent attack
1.40goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded0.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.60
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.80
0.20
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
2.40
Corners against
7.00
8.80
Match total
10.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.40N=10
For
1.50N=10
4.50
Match total
2.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
11.90N=10
Committed
9.50N=10
21.60
Match total
20.80
Shots
14.50N=10
Shots
10.80N=10
5.70
On target
4.60
11%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches195
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home64.5%73.3%+8.9 pp
Draw21.7%17.9%-3.7 pp
Away13.9%8.7%-5.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.548.7%
Over 3.529.7%
BTTS42.6%
Historical average
2.10–0.64
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-016.4%
2-014.4%
2-112.3%
3-17.7%
1-17.7%
Comparable corner averages
6.21–3.35
Average total9.56
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=195.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.545.1%
Over 10.537.9%
Over 11.525.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches65
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT55.4%43.3%–66.8% CI
Draw FT27.7%18.3%–39.6% CI
Away FT16.9%9.7%–27.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.40
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.1%
2+ goals40.0%
3+ goals13.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home66.2%
Away33.8%