First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-21 · 19:30
11.8650.0%
X3.5326.3%
23.9323.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Genk
LWDLDWLWWD
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Charleroi
LLLWWWLDLL
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.30
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.40
1.40
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

6.70N=10
For
6.80N=10
4.60
Against
4.90
11.30
Total
11.70
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
2.50
Total goals
2.30
70%7/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Genk attack

1.30goals per match
Charleroi conceded1.30
Matchup

Charleroi attack

1.00goals per match
Genk conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
6.80N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.90
11.30
Match total
11.70
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
80%8/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
2.20N=10
2.90
Match total
4.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.90N=10
Committed
12.70N=10
21.40
Match total
21.50

Shots

18.40N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
6.40
On target
3.50
7%
Conversion
8%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches894
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.0%48.3%-1.7 pp
Draw26.3%26.8%+0.5 pp
Away23.7%24.8%+1.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.572.3%
Over 2.548.8%
Over 3.528.1%
BTTS52.9%

Historical average

1.571.07

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-012.1%
2-18.7%
0-18.1%
0-07.6%

Comparable corner averages

5.944.22
Average total10.16

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=894.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.1%
Over 9.555.5%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches274
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT41.2%35.6%–47.2% CI
Draw FT38.3%32.8%–44.2% CI
Away FT20.4%16.1%–25.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.32

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals36.9%
3+ goals15.0%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away42.0%