First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-18 · 17:15
11.8150.9%
X3.4826.5%
24.0822.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Charleroi
WDDDWLLLLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Standard
LWWWLLWWDW
6W 1D 3L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.50
Scored
1.20
1.50
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.30
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.40N=10
For
3.70N=10
4.80
Against
6.50
11.20
Total
10.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.50
Goals conceded
0.90
3.00
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Charleroi attack
1.50goals per matchStandard conceded0.90Matchup
Standard attack
1.20goals per matchCharleroi conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.50
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.80
2H goals scored
0.70
0.90
2H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.40N=10
Corners for
3.70N=10
4.80
Corners against
6.50
11.20
Match total
10.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.90N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.40
Match total
2.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
21.10
Match total
20.40
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
9.20N=10
5.80
On target
3.50
9%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches832
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.9%47.4%-3.6 pp
Draw26.5%28.8%+2.4 pp
Away22.6%23.8%+1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.569.7%
Over 2.545.8%
Over 3.524.6%
BTTS49.5%
Historical average
1.49–1.01
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-012.6%
1-112.3%
0-09.6%
2-08.9%
2-18.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.82–4.24
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=832.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.7%
Over 9.554.0%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.531.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches268
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.9%31.4%–42.9% CI
Draw FT41.4%35.7%–47.4% CI
Away FT21.6%17.1%–27.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.22
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal70.1%
2+ goals34.0%
3+ goals12.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home51.5%
Away38.4%