First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 15:00
11.6256.9%
X3.9323.5%
24.7119.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Genk
DLWDLDWLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
DWLWDLWLLW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.20
1.30
Conceded
1.30
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.30
1H goals
0.60
1.40
2H goals
1.90
70%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
7.30N=10
For
3.90N=10
4.70
Against
8.10
12.00
Total
12.00
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.20
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
2.70
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Genk attack
1.40goals per matchOud-Heverlee Leuven conceded1.30Matchup
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack
1.20goals per matchGenk conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.30
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
7.30N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
4.70
Corners against
8.10
12.00
Match total
12.00
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
3.10N=10
2.80
Match total
4.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
14.90N=10
22.40
Match total
25.50
Shots
18.50N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.50
On target
4.30
8%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches403
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.9%61.0%+4.1 pp
Draw23.5%21.6%-1.9 pp
Away19.6%17.4%-2.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.582.6%
Over 2.561.3%
Over 3.535.0%
BTTS57.6%
Historical average
2.01–1.05
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-111.9%
2-010.2%
1-010.2%
1-18.9%
1-27.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–4.02
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=403.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.5%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.542.4%
Over 11.530.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches88
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.1%40.9%–61.3% CI
Draw FT31.8%23.0%–42.1% CI
Away FT17.0%10.6%–26.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.59
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal79.5%
2+ goals45.5%
3+ goals23.9%
Who scores in 2H
Home69.3%
Away35.2%