First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-12 · 12:30
14.8219.1%
X3.7024.9%
21.6555.9%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mechelen
DDLWDDWLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
St. Gilloise
LWDLDDDDDW
2W 6D 2L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.20
Scored
1.10
0.90
Conceded
0.80
20%
Over 2.5
20%
60%
BTTS
60%
By half
0.70
1H goals
0.90
1.40
2H goals
1.00
90%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.60N=10
For
5.10N=10
5.20
Against
4.20
9.80
Total
9.30
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.10
0.90
Goals conceded
0.80
2.10
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mechelen attack
1.20goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded0.80Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
1.10goals per matchMechelen conceded0.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.60
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.60N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
5.20
Corners against
4.20
9.80
Match total
9.30
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.30N=10
For
2.80N=10
5.30
Match total
4.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.30N=10
Committed
13.40N=10
23.00
Match total
22.30
Shots
10.80N=10
Shots
14.40N=10
3.50
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
8%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches290
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.1%15.9%-3.3 pp
Draw24.9%24.5%-0.5 pp
Away55.9%59.7%+3.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.545.9%
Over 3.526.9%
BTTS48.3%
Historical average
0.86–1.70
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-116.2%
1-112.1%
0-211.7%
1-29.0%
1-37.2%
Comparable corner averages
3.78–5.87
Average total9.65
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=290.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.1%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.537.2%
Over 11.527.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT16.5%10.1%–25.8% CI
Draw FT36.5%27.0%–47.1% CI
Away FT47.1%36.8%–57.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.28
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal77.6%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals8.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home35.3%
Away64.7%