First Division A · 2025/26
2026-04-06 · 17:30
11.9148.0%
X3.5925.5%
23.4726.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Gent
WDLLWWLLWW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Mechelen
WLWWLLDWLL
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.40
1.20
Conceded
1.70
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.70
1H goals
1.60
1.30
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.00N=10
5.00
Against
6.30
9.80
Total
10.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.70
3.00
Total goals
3.10
90%9/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Gent attack

1.80goals per match
Mechelen conceded1.70
Matchup

Mechelen attack

1.40goals per match
Gent conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
0.60
0.70
1H goals conceded
1.00
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.80
2H goals scored
0.80
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.70
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
5.00
Corners against
6.30
9.80
Match total
10.30
40%4/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.70
Match total
3.60
50%5/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

11.50N=10
Committed
12.30N=10
23.50
Match total
24.90

Shots

15.50N=10
Shots
8.70N=10
4.20
On target
3.50
12%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches403
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home48.0%51.4%+3.3 pp
Draw25.5%25.8%+0.3 pp
Away26.4%22.8%-3.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.581.1%
Over 2.553.8%
Over 3.531.5%
BTTS59.1%

Historical average

1.721.15

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.6%
2-110.7%
1-09.4%
2-09.4%
3-16.5%

Comparable corner averages

5.774.38
Average total10.15

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=403.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.555.3%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches107
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.7%37.6%–56.1% CI
Draw FT39.3%30.5%–48.7% CI
Away FT14.0%8.7%–21.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.49

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.5%
2+ goals48.6%
3+ goals15.9%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.2%
Away39.3%