First Division A · 2025/26
2026-03-14 · 17:15
11.2474.7%
X5.3917.2%
211.388.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St. Gilloise
WWWDWWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Dender
LDLWWDDLLD
2W 4D 4L · 1.00 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.00
0.50
Conceded
1.20
40%
Over 2.5
50%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.10
1.20
2H goals
1.10
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

6.20N=10
For
3.90N=10
2.30
Against
7.20
8.50
Total
11.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
0.50
Goals conceded
1.20
2.30
Total goals
2.20
80%8/10
Over 1.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
50%5/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

St. Gilloise attack

1.80goals per match
Dender conceded1.20
Matchup

Dender attack

1.00goals per match
St. Gilloise conceded0.50
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.70
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.20
2H goals conceded
0.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.20N=10
Corners for
3.90N=10
2.30
Corners against
7.20
8.50
Match total
11.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
2.90N=10
4.40
Match total
4.40
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

12.50N=10
Committed
12.60N=10
22.50
Match total
23.90

Shots

15.40N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.00
12%
Conversion
9%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches71
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home74.7%84.5%+9.8 pp
Draw17.2%14.1%-3.1 pp
Away8.1%1.4%-6.7 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.584.5%
Over 2.569.0%
Over 3.545.1%
BTTS50.7%

Historical average

2.580.66

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-115.5%
1-012.7%
3-012.7%
2-111.3%
2-011.3%

Comparable corner averages

7.382.73
Average total10.11

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=71.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.8%
Over 9.557.7%
Over 10.542.3%
Over 11.535.2%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches37
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT81.1%65.8%–90.5% CI
Draw FT18.9%9.5%–34.2% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–9.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.68

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal91.9%
2+ goals40.5%
3+ goals21.6%

Who scores in 2H

Home91.9%
Away13.5%