First Division A · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 19:45
11.6456.5%
X3.8024.4%
24.8519.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St. Gilloise
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Genk
DWDWDLDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.50
0.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.40
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.00
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
1.80goals per matchGenk conceded1.50Matchup
Genk attack
1.50goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded0.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
8.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
13.10N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.30
Match total
21.40
Shots
16.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.10
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%59.2%+2.7 pp
Draw24.4%23.8%-0.5 pp
Away19.1%17.0%-2.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS53.2%
Historical average
1.82–0.95
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-113.7%
1-011.3%
1-110.3%
2-09.4%
0-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.11–3.90
Average total10.01
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.2%42.3%–56.2% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT16.2%11.7%–22.0% CI
Remaining goals
1.39
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home60.9%
Away38.1%