First Division A · 2025/26
2026-03-07 · 19:45
11.6456.5%
X3.8024.4%
24.8519.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

St. Gilloise
WWWWDWWWWW
9W 1D 0L · 2.80 PPM
Genk
DWDWDLDLWW
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM

Goals

1.80
Scored
1.50
0.40
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
1.30
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

6.60N=10
For
4.00N=10
2.40
Against
4.50
9.00
Total
8.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.50
0.40
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.00
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

St. Gilloise attack

1.80goals per match
Genk conceded1.50
Matchup

Genk attack

1.50goals per match
St. Gilloise conceded0.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.70
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.80
0.10
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
6.60N=10
Corners for
4.00N=10
2.40
Corners against
4.50
9.00
Match total
8.50
60%6/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
90%9/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

2.10N=10
For
1.60N=10
4.40
Match total
3.90
50%5/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10

Fouls

13.10N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
23.30
Match total
21.40

Shots

16.10N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
6.10
On target
5.10
11%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches671
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home56.5%59.2%+2.7 pp
Draw24.4%23.8%-0.5 pp
Away19.1%17.0%-2.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.575.6%
Over 2.553.5%
Over 3.528.5%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.820.95

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-113.7%
1-011.3%
1-110.3%
2-09.4%
0-06.9%

Comparable corner averages

6.113.90
Average total10.01

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=671.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.9%
Over 9.552.2%
Over 10.540.7%
Over 11.530.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches197
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT49.2%42.3%–56.2% CI
Draw FT34.5%28.2%–41.4% CI
Away FT16.2%11.7%–22.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.6%
2+ goals38.1%
3+ goals17.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home60.9%
Away38.1%