First Division A · 2024/25
2025-05-17 · 17:15
12.2741.3%
X3.5026.8%
22.9332.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Standard
LWWLLDDDLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Dender
WLLLLLLDLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

0.60
Scored
1.60
1.00
Conceded
3.40
20%
Over 2.5
90%
30%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.50
1H goals
2.30
1.10
2H goals
2.70
80%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
4.90N=10
5.60
Against
4.30
10.40
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.60
Goals scored
1.60
1.00
Goals conceded
3.40
1.60
Total goals
5.00
40%4/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
80%8/10
30%3/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Standard attack

0.60goals per match
Dender conceded3.40
Matchup

Dender attack

1.60goals per match
Standard conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.50
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.80
30%3/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.30
2H goals scored
1.10
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.60
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
4.90N=10
5.60
Corners against
4.30
10.40
Match total
9.20
80%8/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.70
Match total
1.80
60%6/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
9.70N=10
22.70
Match total
19.30

Shots

11.30N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
3.90
On target
4.50
5%
Conversion
14%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches520
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home41.3%38.1%-3.2 pp
Draw26.8%29.0%+2.3 pp
Away32.0%32.9%+0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.8%
Over 2.555.8%
Over 3.535.2%
BTTS60.2%

Historical average

1.511.39

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-112.9%
1-09.4%
1-28.7%
2-28.3%
2-16.9%

Comparable corner averages

5.394.69
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=519.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.568.0%
Over 9.554.1%
Over 10.542.2%
Over 11.531.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches133
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT36.8%29.1%–45.3% CI
Draw FT35.3%27.7%–43.8% CI
Away FT27.8%20.9%–36.0% CI

Remaining goals

1.52

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal78.9%
2+ goals43.6%
3+ goals19.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home57.9%
Away47.4%