First Division A · 2024/25
2025-05-10 · 19:45
13.3927.7%
X3.2329.1%
22.1743.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Anderlecht
WLLWWLWLDW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
St. Gilloise
DWWWWWLWWW
8W 1D 1L · 2.50 PPM
Goals
1.90
Scored
2.00
1.20
Conceded
0.60
70%
Over 2.5
70%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.50
1H goals
1.20
1.60
2H goals
1.40
90%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
5.70N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.80
Against
4.20
9.50
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 2.5 goals
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
2.00
1.20
Goals conceded
0.60
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Anderlecht attack
1.90goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded0.60Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
2.00goals per matchAnderlecht conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.10
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.10
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.90
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.70N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.80
Corners against
4.20
9.50
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.10N=10
For
1.70N=10
3.50
Match total
3.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
13.20N=10
22.30
Match total
22.60
Shots
13.90N=10
Shots
10.30N=10
5.40
On target
4.60
14%
Conversion
19%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches527
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home27.7%25.2%-2.5 pp
Draw29.1%25.2%-3.8 pp
Away43.3%49.5%+6.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.568.3%
Over 2.546.9%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS49.9%
Historical average
1.02–1.47
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
0-114.6%
1-111.4%
1-210.6%
1-08.9%
0-08.2%
Comparable corner averages
4.48–5.27
Average total9.76
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=527.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.562.8%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.5%
Over 11.528.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches162
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT23.5%17.6%–30.5% CI
Draw FT37.0%30.0%–44.7% CI
Away FT39.5%32.3%–47.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.30
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal73.5%
2+ goals37.0%
3+ goals17.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home40.7%
Away57.4%