First Division A · 2024/25
2025-04-26 · 19:45
11.6357.6%
X4.0223.3%
24.9119.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Charleroi
DWLDWLDLWW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Dender
LWWLLLLLLD
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.70
0.80
Conceded
3.00
40%
Over 2.5
90%
50%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.20
1H goals
2.60
1.10
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.40N=10
For
4.30N=10
4.10
Against
3.70
8.50
Total
8.00
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.70
0.80
Goals conceded
3.00
2.30
Total goals
4.70
70%7/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
90%9/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10
50%5/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Charleroi attack

1.50goals per match
Dender conceded3.00
Matchup

Dender attack

1.70goals per match
Charleroi conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.90
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.40N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
4.10
Corners against
3.70
8.50
Match total
8.00
60%6/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
20%2/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
1.20N=10
3.00
Match total
1.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

9.20N=10
Committed
9.90N=10
19.00
Match total
18.50

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
10.90N=10
4.80
On target
4.30
11%
Conversion
16%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

medium · Tier A
Comparable matches308
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.6%59.4%+1.9 pp
Draw23.3%23.1%-0.3 pp
Away19.1%17.5%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.576.6%
Over 2.556.8%
Over 3.533.8%
BTTS53.2%

Historical average

1.881.03

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-012.3%
2-111.4%
2-010.4%
1-17.5%
0-06.5%

Comparable corner averages

6.023.93
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=308.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.563.6%
Over 9.551.0%
Over 10.541.9%
Over 11.530.5%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches85
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT51.8%41.3%–62.1% CI
Draw FT31.8%22.8%–42.3% CI
Away FT16.5%10.1%–25.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal76.5%
2+ goals38.8%
3+ goals16.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home63.5%
Away32.9%