First Division A · 2024/25
2025-04-19 · 17:15
12.1743.2%
X3.4027.6%
23.2029.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Charleroi
WDWLDWLDLW
4W 3D 3L · 1.50 PPM
Mechelen
LLDLLLWLWD
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
1.30
Scored
0.80
0.80
Conceded
1.50
30%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
1.10
2H goals
0.90
70%
Goal in 2H
50%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
5.90N=10
3.90
Against
6.20
8.40
Total
12.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.30
Goals scored
0.80
0.80
Goals conceded
1.50
2.10
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Charleroi attack
1.30goals per matchMechelen conceded1.50Matchup
Mechelen attack
0.80goals per matchCharleroi conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.40
0.30
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
5.90N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.20
8.40
Match total
12.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.10N=10
3.10
Match total
3.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
10.40N=10
18.60
Match total
19.60
Shots
14.00N=10
Shots
12.40N=10
4.80
On target
4.70
9%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches807
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home43.2%43.4%+0.2 pp
Draw27.6%29.7%+2.2 pp
Away29.3%26.9%-2.4 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.1%
Over 2.550.4%
Over 3.527.0%
BTTS53.9%
Historical average
1.51–1.15
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.5%
1-09.8%
0-08.2%
2-18.2%
1-28.1%
Comparable corner averages
5.63–4.44
Average total10.07
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=806.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.565.3%
Over 9.554.3%
Over 10.543.1%
Over 11.530.9%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches240
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT34.6%28.9%–40.8% CI
Draw FT40.4%34.4%–46.7% CI
Away FT25.0%19.9%–30.8% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal72.5%
2+ goals40.8%
3+ goals17.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home52.9%
Away43.3%