First Division A · 2024/25
2025-04-13 · 15:00
11.7354.3%
X3.8124.6%
24.4521.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mechelen
DWLDDLDDWW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
WDDLLLLDLD
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.80
1.30
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
20%
80%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.40
1H goals
0.80
1.70
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
5.20N=10
For
4.10N=10
3.00
Against
5.70
8.20
Total
9.80
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.30
3.10
Total goals
2.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mechelen attack
1.80goals per matchOud-Heverlee Leuven conceded1.30Matchup
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack
0.80goals per matchMechelen conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.50
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
3.00
Corners against
5.70
8.20
Match total
9.80
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.30N=10
For
2.60N=10
2.80
Match total
4.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.20N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
18.80
Match total
27.50
Shots
13.70N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.50
On target
2.90
13%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
medium · Tier A
Comparable matches459
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home54.3%61.4%+7.2 pp
Draw24.6%23.3%-1.3 pp
Away21.1%15.3%-5.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.585.0%
Over 2.559.7%
Over 3.534.2%
BTTS58.8%
Historical average
2.00–1.00
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.8%
2-011.5%
2-111.5%
1-08.9%
2-27.0%
Comparable corner averages
6.05–4.14
Average total10.18
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=459.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.9%
Over 9.552.1%
Over 10.543.8%
Over 11.533.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches116
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.6%43.6%–61.4% CI
Draw FT32.8%24.9%–41.7% CI
Away FT14.7%9.4%–22.2% CI
Remaining goals
1.88
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.5%
2+ goals58.6%
3+ goals30.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home74.1%
Away42.2%