First Division A · 2024/25
2025-04-04 · 19:45
11.8351.5%
X3.7725.0%
24.0123.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mechelen
WDWLDDLDDW
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Dender
LDLWWLLLLL
2W 1D 7L · 0.70 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
1.20
1.10
Conceded
2.40
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
2.00
1.60
2H goals
1.60
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.30N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.30
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
8.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
1.20
1.10
Goals conceded
2.40
2.70
Total goals
3.60
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Mechelen attack

1.60goals per match
Dender conceded2.40
Matchup

Dender attack

1.20goals per match
Mechelen conceded1.10
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.40
0.50
2H goals conceded
1.20
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
20%2/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.30
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
8.40
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.50N=10
3.30
Match total
2.40
40%4/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
19.50
Match total
18.50

Shots

13.10N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.20
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches293
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home51.5%49.1%-2.4 pp
Draw25.0%27.6%+2.6 pp
Away23.5%23.2%-0.3 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.579.2%
Over 2.554.6%
Over 3.531.1%
BTTS58.0%

Historical average

1.721.14

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.7%
2-09.6%
1-28.2%
2-17.8%
1-07.8%

Comparable corner averages

5.794.48
Average total10.27

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=293.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.567.6%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.4%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches94
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT31.9%23.4%–41.9% CI
Draw FT47.9%38.1%–57.9% CI
Away FT20.2%13.3%–29.4% CI

Remaining goals

1.60

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal75.5%
2+ goals53.2%
3+ goals21.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home62.8%
Away50.0%