First Division A · 2024/25
2025-03-16 · 17:30
11.8650.5%
X3.6625.7%
23.9523.8%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mechelen
WWDWLDDLDD
3W 5D 2L · 1.40 PPM
Dender
DLDLWWLLLL
2W 2D 6L · 0.80 PPM

Goals

1.90
Scored
1.10
1.00
Conceded
2.20
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.30
1H goals
2.00
1.60
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.20N=10
For
4.30N=10
3.40
Against
3.90
8.60
Total
8.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.90
Goals scored
1.10
1.00
Goals conceded
2.20
2.90
Total goals
3.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
80%8/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Mechelen attack

1.90goals per match
Dender conceded2.20
Matchup

Dender attack

1.10goals per match
Mechelen conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
0.80
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.20
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.30
0.40
2H goals conceded
1.00
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.20N=10
Corners for
4.30N=10
3.40
Corners against
3.90
8.60
Match total
8.20
70%7/10
Over 8.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.80N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.40
Match total
2.70
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.00N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
20.40
Match total
20.20

Shots

12.90N=10
Shots
9.70N=10
5.30
On target
3.10
15%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

high · Tier A
Comparable matches577
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home50.5%49.7%-0.8 pp
Draw25.7%28.1%+2.4 pp
Away23.8%22.2%-1.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.573.8%
Over 2.549.2%
Over 3.526.2%
BTTS53.4%

Historical average

1.621.01

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-113.9%
1-010.4%
2-19.4%
0-08.7%
2-08.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.974.28
Average total10.25

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=577.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.566.7%
Over 9.556.0%
Over 10.544.2%
Over 11.533.8%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches174
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT40.8%33.8%–48.2% CI
Draw FT43.1%36.0%–50.5% CI
Away FT16.1%11.4%–22.3% CI

Remaining goals

1.28

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal71.3%
2+ goals37.9%
3+ goals15.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.0%
Away39.1%