First Division A · 2023/24
2024-05-26 · 17:30
11.6855.8%
X4.0023.4%
24.5020.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
St. Gilloise
WWWDWDLLWD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Genk
LDLDWDWLLL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
0.90
1.30
Conceded
1.70
70%
Over 2.5
50%
80%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.40
1H goals
1.00
1.70
2H goals
1.60
90%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.70N=10
3.50
Against
3.50
9.50
Total
8.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongBoth teams scored
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
0.90
1.30
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
1.80goals per matchGenk conceded1.70Matchup
Genk attack
0.90goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded1.30Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.70N=10
3.50
Corners against
3.50
9.50
Match total
8.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.50N=10
For
2.30N=10
5.20
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
14.60N=10
22.50
Match total
26.20
Shots
16.30N=10
Shots
14.90N=10
6.60
On target
4.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches236
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home55.8%60.2%+4.4 pp
Draw23.4%20.3%-3.1 pp
Away20.8%19.5%-1.3 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.563.6%
Over 3.539.8%
BTTS61.4%
Historical average
2.01–1.16
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-112.3%
1-111.9%
2-010.2%
3-19.7%
1-07.2%
Comparable corner averages
6.34–4.17
Average total10.51
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=236.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.572.9%
Over 9.559.7%
Over 10.547.5%
Over 11.537.3%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches39
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT43.6%29.3%–59.0% CI
Draw FT41.0%27.1%–56.6% CI
Away FT15.4%7.2%–29.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.62
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal82.1%
2+ goals48.7%
3+ goals20.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.8%
Away43.6%