First Division A · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 19:45
12.5037.6%
X3.5126.8%
22.6435.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Cercle Brugge
LWDWDLWDLD
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM
Genk
LWLDLDWDWL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.80
Scored
1.00
1.20
Conceded
1.30
50%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
60%
By half
1.20
1H goals
0.60
1.80
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
5.60N=10
4.60
Against
4.00
9.90
Total
9.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.80
Goals scored
1.00
1.20
Goals conceded
1.30
3.00
Total goals
2.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Cercle Brugge attack
1.80goals per matchGenk conceded1.30Matchup
Genk attack
1.00goals per matchCercle Brugge conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.40
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.20
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.00
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
5.60N=10
4.60
Corners against
4.00
9.90
Match total
9.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.70
Match total
3.90
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.70N=10
Committed
13.60N=10
20.00
Match total
26.30
Shots
16.50N=10
Shots
14.60N=10
5.70
On target
4.40
11%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches234
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.6%43.2%+5.6 pp
Draw26.8%22.2%-4.6 pp
Away35.6%34.6%-1.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.3%
Over 2.559.8%
Over 3.538.9%
BTTS64.5%
Historical average
1.63–1.46
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-111.1%
2-19.0%
1-28.5%
2-07.3%
1-07.3%
Comparable corner averages
5.21–5.18
Average total10.40
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=234.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.557.3%
Over 10.546.2%
Over 11.538.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches54
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT46.3%33.7%–59.4% CI
Draw FT27.8%17.6%–40.9% CI
Away FT25.9%16.1%–38.9% CI
Remaining goals
1.63
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal85.2%
2+ goals48.1%
3+ goals22.2%
Who scores in 2H
Home63.0%
Away50.0%