First Division A · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 17:15
13.2628.8%
X3.7225.2%
22.0446.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Mechelen
DWWDDWWLWW
6W 3D 1L · 2.10 PPM
Gent
LWLLWLDWLW
4W 1D 5L · 1.30 PPM
Goals
2.30
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.40
80%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.40
2.30
2H goals
1.40
80%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.00N=10
For
4.50N=10
3.90
Against
4.90
9.90
Total
9.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.30
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.40
3.30
Total goals
2.80
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Mechelen attack
2.30goals per matchGent conceded1.40Matchup
Gent attack
1.40goals per matchMechelen conceded1.00Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.80
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.60
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.00N=10
Corners for
4.50N=10
3.90
Corners against
4.90
9.90
Match total
9.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
1.30N=10
3.00
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.90N=10
Committed
10.10N=10
18.70
Match total
20.30
Shots
16.20N=10
Shots
12.70N=10
5.60
On target
5.10
14%
Conversion
11%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches68
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home28.8%33.8%+5.0 pp
Draw25.2%30.9%+5.7 pp
Away46.0%35.3%-10.7 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.592.6%
Over 2.563.2%
Over 3.541.2%
BTTS75.0%
Historical average
1.63–1.76
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-117.6%
2-111.8%
2-210.3%
0-28.8%
1-27.4%
Comparable corner averages
4.82–6.10
Average total10.93
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=68.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.573.5%
Over 9.561.8%
Over 10.550.0%
Over 11.539.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT42.9%21.4%–67.4% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.86
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal92.9%
2+ goals71.4%
3+ goals21.4%
Who scores in 2H
Home71.4%
Away50.0%