First Division A · 2023/24
2024-05-04 · 15:00
12.5037.5%
X3.3727.8%
22.7134.6%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
RWD Molenbeek
DWLLDLDLWL
2W 3D 5L · 0.90 PPM
Charleroi
DDLLLDWLWW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
0.60
1.90
Conceded
1.30
60%
Over 2.5
40%
40%
BTTS
30%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.80
1.20
2H goals
1.10
60%
Goal in 2H
60%
Corners
4.10N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.00
Against
5.00
9.10
Total
9.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
moderateAt least one second-half goal
6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
0.60
1.90
Goals conceded
1.30
2.90
Total goals
1.90
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
RWD Molenbeek attack
1.00goals per matchCharleroi conceded1.30Matchup
Charleroi attack
0.60goals per matchRWD Molenbeek conceded1.90Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.20
1.30
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.70
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.10N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.00
Corners against
5.00
9.10
Match total
9.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
1.90N=10
3.80
Match total
2.70
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
14.20N=10
22.20
Match total
23.80
Shots
9.50N=10
Shots
9.30N=10
3.50
On target
3.10
11%
Conversion
6%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches538
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.5%37.4%-0.2 pp
Draw27.8%26.2%-1.6 pp
Away34.6%36.4%+1.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.551.3%
Over 3.524.7%
BTTS56.5%
Historical average
1.35–1.31
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.3%
1-211.3%
1-010.6%
2-18.4%
0-18.4%
Comparable corner averages
5.15–4.71
Average total9.86
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=538.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.7%
Over 10.539.6%
Over 11.529.6%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches155
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitymoderate
Home FT36.8%29.6%–44.6% CI
Draw FT34.2%27.2%–42.0% CI
Away FT29.0%22.5%–36.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.55
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal83.9%
2+ goals46.5%
3+ goals16.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home61.3%
Away53.5%