First Division A · 2023/24
2024-04-27 · 19:45
11.3469.9%
X5.3617.5%
27.3812.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gent
DWWLDLDWWW
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Westerlo
LWDLDDLLLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
2.80
Scored
1.30
1.10
Conceded
2.20
90%
Over 2.5
80%
70%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.40
2.30
2H goals
2.10
100%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.50N=10
For
2.80N=10
3.90
Against
6.10
10.40
Total
8.90
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongOver 2.5 goals
9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
strongBoth teams scored
7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.80
Goals scored
1.30
1.10
Goals conceded
2.20
3.90
Total goals
3.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gent attack
2.80goals per matchWesterlo conceded2.20Matchup
Westerlo attack
1.30goals per matchGent conceded1.10Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.60
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.70
2H goals scored
0.70
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.40
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.50N=10
Corners for
2.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.10
10.40
Match total
8.90
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.20N=10
For
2.50N=10
4.10
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.70N=10
Committed
10.60N=10
20.90
Match total
20.80
Shots
16.70N=10
Shots
11.30N=10
6.80
On target
4.20
17%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches78
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%76.9%+7.1 pp
Draw17.5%15.4%-2.1 pp
Away12.7%7.7%-5.0 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.587.2%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.544.9%
BTTS62.8%
Historical average
2.51–0.96
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.7%
2-011.5%
3-111.5%
1-09.0%
1-16.4%
Comparable corner averages
6.79–3.46
Average total10.26
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=78.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.567.9%
Over 9.562.8%
Over 10.548.7%
Over 11.539.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches19
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT68.4%46.0%–84.6% CI
Draw FT21.1%8.5%–43.3% CI
Away FT10.5%2.9%–31.4% CI
Remaining goals
1.89
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal89.5%
2+ goals63.2%
3+ goals26.3%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.9%
Away47.4%