First Division A · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 18:15
13.9124.1%
X3.8824.2%
21.8251.7%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Oud-Heverlee Leuven
LLLWDWDLWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Gent
WDLWLLWLDW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.60
1.20
Conceded
1.50
40%
Over 2.5
50%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
0.70
1H goals
1.30
1.50
2H goals
1.80
80%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.90
Against
4.50
10.80
Total
9.50
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
very strongOver 8.5 corners
8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.60
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.20
Total goals
3.10
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Oud-Heverlee Leuven attack
1.00goals per matchGent conceded1.50Matchup
Gent attack
1.60goals per matchOud-Heverlee Leuven conceded1.20Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.40
1H goals scored
0.80
0.30
1H goals conceded
0.50
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.60
2H goals scored
0.80
0.90
2H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.90
Corners against
4.50
10.80
Match total
9.50
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.70N=10
For
1.20N=10
6.20
Match total
3.50
Over 3.5
Fouls
12.00N=10
Committed
10.30N=10
25.70
Match total
20.50
Shots
12.50N=10
Shots
13.00N=10
3.40
On target
5.50
8%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches79
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home24.1%24.1%-0.0 pp
Draw24.2%24.1%-0.2 pp
Away51.7%51.9%+0.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.578.5%
Over 2.563.3%
Over 3.540.5%
BTTS63.3%
Historical average
1.25–1.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-110.1%
0-18.9%
1-18.9%
1-07.6%
2-27.6%
Comparable corner averages
4.53–5.53
Average total10.06
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=79.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.4%
Over 9.558.2%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.529.1%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT28.6%13.8%–50.0% CI
Draw FT38.1%20.8%–59.1% CI
Away FT33.3%17.2%–54.6% CI
Remaining goals
1.29
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals33.3%
3+ goals9.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.6%
Away52.4%