First Division A · 2023/24
2024-04-14 · 17:30
12.6935.0%
X3.3727.9%
22.5437.1%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Anderlecht
WDWWDWWWLW
7W 2D 1L · 2.30 PPM
St. Gilloise
DWWDDWWWDL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
1.60
0.80
Conceded
0.90
50%
Over 2.5
40%
50%
BTTS
70%
By half
1.00
1H goals
1.20
1.50
2H goals
1.30
80%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
4.50N=10
For
6.20N=10
4.80
Against
5.00
9.30
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.
strongOver 8.5 corners
7/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.60
0.80
Goals conceded
0.90
2.50
Total goals
2.50
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Anderlecht attack
1.70goals per matchSt. Gilloise conceded0.90Matchup
St. Gilloise attack
1.60goals per matchAnderlecht conceded0.80Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.90
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.30
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.70
0.30
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.50N=10
Corners for
6.20N=10
4.80
Corners against
5.00
9.30
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.90
Match total
5.30
Over 3.5
Fouls
8.70N=10
Committed
13.00N=10
21.70
Match total
25.20
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
13.40N=10
5.00
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
12%
Market history
Similar historical matches
high · Tier A
Comparable matches517
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home35.0%33.5%-1.5 pp
Draw27.9%27.9%-0.1 pp
Away37.1%38.7%+1.6 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.575.2%
Over 2.550.3%
Over 3.528.8%
BTTS57.8%
Historical average
1.32–1.39
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-114.5%
0-19.1%
1-28.9%
1-08.5%
2-17.2%
Comparable corner averages
5.03–5.06
Average total10.09
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=517.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.568.5%
Over 9.552.4%
Over 10.543.7%
Over 11.533.7%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches149
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT26.8%20.4%–34.5% CI
Draw FT37.6%30.2%–45.6% CI
Away FT35.6%28.3%–43.5% CI
Remaining goals
1.38
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal75.2%
2+ goals38.3%
3+ goals14.8%
Who scores in 2H
Home47.0%
Away53.7%