First Division A · 2022/23
2023-04-23 · 17:30
11.3469.9%
X5.1818.1%
27.7912.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Anderlecht
LWLLLDWDWD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Mechelen
LWLLLLWLLL
2W 0D 8L · 0.60 PPM
Goals
1.40
Scored
1.10
1.40
Conceded
2.20
50%
Over 2.5
60%
50%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.10
1H goals
1.56
1.70
2H goals
1.56
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
5.80N=10
For
4.78N=9
3.70
Against
5.33
9.50
Total
10.11
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 9/9 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.40
Goals scored
1.10
1.40
Goals conceded
2.20
2.80
Total goals
3.30
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Anderlecht attack
1.40goals per matchMechelen conceded2.20Matchup
Mechelen attack
1.10goals per matchAnderlecht conceded1.40Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=9
0.70
1H goals scored
0.44
0.40
1H goals conceded
1.11
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.70
2H goals scored
0.22
1.00
2H goals conceded
1.33
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=9
5.80N=10
Corners for
4.78N=9
3.70
Corners against
5.33
9.50
Match total
10.11
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
2.00N=10
For
2.56N=9
4.30
Match total
3.89
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.00N=10
Committed
13.22N=9
22.70
Match total
24.44
Shots
14.70N=10
Shots
10.00N=9
5.50
On target
3.56
10%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches106
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.9%73.6%+3.7 pp
Draw18.1%17.9%-0.2 pp
Away12.0%8.5%-3.5 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.589.6%
Over 2.567.9%
Over 3.535.8%
BTTS55.7%
Historical average
2.44–0.94
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-115.1%
3-015.1%
2-012.3%
1-17.5%
1-06.6%
Comparable corner averages
6.75–3.46
Average total10.22
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=106.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.566.0%
Over 9.549.1%
Over 10.543.4%
Over 11.534.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT60.0%40.7%–76.6% CI
Draw FT32.0%17.2%–51.6% CI
Away FT8.0%2.2%–25.0% CI
Remaining goals
2.00
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal88.0%
2+ goals76.0%
3+ goals32.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home80.0%
Away44.0%