First Division A · 2022/23
2023-04-16 · 15:00
14.8719.3%
X4.0823.0%
21.6357.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Mechelen
WWDDWWDDWL
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
Gent
LDWLWLDLWW
4W 2D 4L · 1.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
2.40
1.40
Conceded
1.50
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
40%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
2.50
100%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

7.10N=10
For
5.20N=10
5.00
Against
3.90
12.10
Total
9.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
2.40
1.40
Goals conceded
1.50
3.10
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
40%4/10
Matchup

Mechelen attack

1.70goals per match
Gent conceded1.50
Matchup

Gent attack

2.40goals per match
Mechelen conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
1.00
0.60
1H goals conceded
0.40
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
40%4/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
0.80
2H goals scored
1.40
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.10
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.10N=10
Corners for
5.20N=10
5.00
Corners against
3.90
12.10
Match total
9.10
90%9/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
30%3/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.30N=10
For
1.10N=10
3.80
Match total
2.80
40%4/10
Over 3.5
10%1/10

Fouls

9.40N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
20.20
Match total
20.90

Shots

14.00N=10
Shots
11.40N=10
6.30
On target
5.50
12%
Conversion
21%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches56
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home19.3%21.4%+2.1 pp
Draw23.0%17.9%-5.2 pp
Away57.7%60.7%+3.1 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.560.7%
Over 3.532.1%
BTTS51.8%

Historical average

1.052.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

0-112.5%
1-210.7%
0-210.7%
2-18.9%
0-38.9%

Comparable corner averages

3.526.00
Average total9.52

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=56.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.9%
Over 9.550.0%
Over 10.542.9%
Over 11.532.1%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT66.7%41.7%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home40.0%
Away86.7%