First Division A · 2020/21
2021-02-15 · 19:45
11.5062.3%
X4.2621.9%
25.9315.8%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Gent
LWLDLWWLDD
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Mouscron
LLWLLWLLWD
3W 1D 6L · 1.00 PPM
Goals
1.70
Scored
0.80
1.50
Conceded
1.60
70%
Over 2.5
40%
70%
BTTS
40%
By half
1.70
1H goals
0.70
1.50
2H goals
1.70
100%
Goal in 2H
80%
Corners
5.30N=10
For
3.60N=10
3.40
Against
5.00
8.70
Total
8.60
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
0.80
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.20
Total goals
2.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Gent attack
1.70goals per matchMouscron conceded1.60Matchup
Mouscron attack
0.80goals per matchGent conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.30
0.90
1H goals conceded
0.40
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.90
2H goals scored
0.50
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.20
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
5.30N=10
Corners for
3.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
5.00
8.70
Match total
8.60
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.50N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.60
Match total
4.00
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.80N=10
Committed
13.90N=10
26.90
Match total
24.10
Shots
14.30N=10
Shots
11.00N=10
5.00
On target
3.80
12%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches87
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home62.3%62.1%-0.2 pp
Draw21.9%25.3%+3.3 pp
Away15.8%12.6%-3.1 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.579.3%
Over 2.558.6%
Over 3.534.5%
BTTS49.4%
Historical average
2.21–0.85
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-112.6%
1-010.3%
3-010.3%
2-18.0%
2-06.9%
Comparable corner averages
6.38–3.56
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=87.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.563.2%
Over 9.550.6%
Over 10.541.4%
Over 11.531.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches25
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT44.0%26.7%–62.9% CI
Draw FT40.0%23.4%–59.3% CI
Away FT16.0%6.4%–34.7% CI
Remaining goals
1.56
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal84.0%
2+ goals44.0%
3+ goals20.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home68.0%
Away44.0%