Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
11.4663.6%
X4.6619.9%
25.6116.5%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Utrecht
WDLLLDWWWW
5W 2D 3L · 1.70 PPM
For Sittard
DLDWLLWWLL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

1.50
Scored
1.30
0.80
Conceded
1.80
30%
Over 2.5
70%
50%
BTTS
80%

By half

1.00
1H goals
2.20
1.30
2H goals
0.90
60%
Goal in 2H
60%

Corners

5.40N=10
For
4.10N=10
5.30
Against
7.30
10.70
Total
11.40
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateAt least one second-half goal

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.50
Goals scored
1.30
0.80
Goals conceded
1.80
2.30
Total goals
3.10
80%8/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
30%3/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
50%5/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.50goals per match
For Sittard conceded1.80
Matchup

For Sittard attack

1.30goals per match
Utrecht conceded0.80
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.80
1H goals scored
0.90
0.20
1H goals conceded
1.30
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
60%6/10
Leading at HT
20%2/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.40
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.50
60%6/10
Over 0.5 2H
60%6/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
10%1/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.40N=10
Corners for
4.10N=10
5.30
Corners against
7.30
10.70
Match total
11.40
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
1.80N=10
3.50
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.70N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.20
Match total
23.60

Shots

17.60N=10
Shots
11.60N=10
5.90
On target
5.20
9%
Conversion
11%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches55
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home63.6%63.6%+0.1 pp
Draw19.9%23.6%+3.7 pp
Away16.5%12.7%-3.8 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.587.3%
Over 2.565.5%
Over 3.545.5%
BTTS67.3%

Historical average

2.361.02

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-114.5%
1-012.7%
2-19.1%
2-29.1%
4-17.3%

Comparable corner averages

6.333.89
Average total10.22

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=55.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.569.1%
Over 9.556.4%
Over 10.541.8%
Over 11.527.3%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Draw FT40.0%19.8%–64.3% CI
Away FT20.0%7.0%–45.2% CI

Remaining goals

2.27

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal93.3%
2+ goals66.7%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home86.7%
Away66.7%