Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
12.0245.8%
X3.9023.7%
23.0430.4%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Sparta Rotterdam
DWLWWDDWLD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Excelsior
WLDDWLLDDW
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

1.20
Scored
1.40
1.00
Conceded
1.60
20%
Over 2.5
60%
40%
BTTS
80%

By half

0.80
1H goals
1.50
1.40
2H goals
1.50
80%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.80N=10
For
3.80N=10
6.80
Against
6.80
11.60
Total
10.60
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.20
Goals scored
1.40
1.00
Goals conceded
1.60
2.20
Total goals
3.00
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
20%2/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10
40%4/10
BTTS
80%8/10
Matchup

Sparta Rotterdam attack

1.20goals per match
Excelsior conceded1.60
Matchup

Excelsior attack

1.40goals per match
Sparta Rotterdam conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.60
1H goals scored
0.70
0.20
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
30%3/10
0.60
2H goals scored
0.70
0.80
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.80N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
6.80
Corners against
6.80
11.60
Match total
10.60
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.00N=10
4.40
Match total
2.50
60%6/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

10.10N=10
Committed
11.80N=10
22.20
Match total
20.50

Shots

14.90N=10
Shots
11.20N=10
5.50
On target
3.90
8%
Conversion
13%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches27
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home45.8%63.0%+17.1 pp
Draw23.7%18.5%-5.2 pp
Away30.4%18.5%-11.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.585.2%
Over 2.563.0%
Over 3.551.9%
BTTS59.3%

Historical average

2.191.37

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-014.8%
1-17.4%
3-17.4%
2-17.4%
2-27.4%

Comparable corner averages

5.564.52
Average total10.07

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=27.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.559.3%
Over 9.555.6%
Over 10.551.9%
Over 11.537.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches23
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT52.2%33.0%–70.8% CI
Draw FT39.1%22.2%–59.2% CI
Away FT8.7%2.4%–26.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.39

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal73.9%
2+ goals43.5%
3+ goals17.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home69.6%
Away34.8%