Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
11.3568.9%
X5.2517.7%
26.9813.3%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Nijmegen
WDWWLLWDDD
4W 4D 2L · 1.60 PPM
Go Ahead Eagles
LDLDDLWLDD
1W 5D 4L · 0.80 PPM
Goals
2.10
Scored
1.00
1.50
Conceded
1.60
80%
Over 2.5
40%
90%
BTTS
50%
By half
2.00
1H goals
1.40
1.60
2H goals
1.20
100%
Goal in 2H
70%
Corners
6.70N=10
For
4.60N=10
3.40
Against
6.80
10.10
Total
11.40
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongAt least one second-half goal
10/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
moderateOver 8.5 corners
6/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.00
1.50
Goals conceded
1.60
3.60
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Nijmegen attack
2.10goals per matchGo Ahead Eagles conceded1.60Matchup
Go Ahead Eagles attack
1.00goals per matchNijmegen conceded1.50Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.90
1H goals scored
0.40
1.10
1H goals conceded
1.00
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.40
2H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.70N=10
Corners for
4.60N=10
3.40
Corners against
6.80
10.10
Match total
11.40
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.70N=10
For
2.70N=10
3.80
Match total
4.10
Over 3.5
Fouls
9.30N=10
Committed
10.50N=10
21.60
Match total
19.30
Shots
18.60N=10
Shots
9.60N=10
6.40
On target
3.80
11%
Conversion
10%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home68.9%67.7%-1.2 pp
Draw17.7%16.1%-1.6 pp
Away13.3%16.1%+2.8 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.590.3%
Over 2.583.9%
Over 3.558.1%
BTTS80.6%
Historical average
2.42–1.32
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
3-112.9%
3-212.9%
1-36.5%
1-16.5%
Comparable corner averages
5.58–3.03
Average total8.61
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.548.4%
Over 9.541.9%
Over 10.532.3%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches14
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT71.4%45.4%–88.3% CI
Draw FT28.6%11.7%–54.6% CI
Away FT0.0%0.0%–21.5% CI
Remaining goals
2.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal78.6%
2+ goals57.1%
3+ goals50.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home78.6%
Away14.3%