Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
14.6320.0%
X4.4320.9%
21.5759.0%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
Heracles
DLLWLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Groningen
LWDWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM
Goals
0.50
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%
Corners
4.70N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
10.10
Signals
Key historical patterns
very strongAt least one second-half goal
8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.60
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
Heracles attack
0.50goals per matchGroningen conceded1.40Matchup
Groningen attack
1.20goals per matchHeracles conceded1.70Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.20
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
10.10
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
Over 3.5
Fouls
14.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.20
Match total
21.80
Shots
12.60N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.70
On target
5.70
4%
Conversion
7%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.0%22.6%+2.6 pp
Draw20.9%22.6%+1.7 pp
Away59.0%54.8%-4.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.548.4%
BTTS67.7%
Historical average
1.42–2.23
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
2-116.1%
0-116.1%
2-212.9%
2-46.5%
3-36.5%
Comparable corner averages
4.77–5.16
Average total9.94
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.529.0%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI
Remaining goals
2.36
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%
Who scores in 2H
Home54.5%
Away90.9%