Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
14.6320.0%
X4.4320.9%
21.5759.0%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heracles
DLLWLLDDLL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM
Groningen
LWDWLLLDWL
3W 2D 5L · 1.10 PPM

Goals

0.50
Scored
1.20
1.70
Conceded
1.40
40%
Over 2.5
30%
40%
BTTS
50%

By half

1.00
1H goals
0.90
1.20
2H goals
1.70
80%
Goal in 2H
100%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
6.50N=10
5.20
Against
3.60
9.90
Total
10.10
Signals

Key historical patterns

very strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 10/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
0.50
Goals scored
1.20
1.70
Goals conceded
1.40
2.20
Total goals
2.60
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
40%4/10
Over 2.5
30%3/10
10%1/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
40%4/10
BTTS
50%5/10
Matchup

Heracles attack

0.50goals per match
Groningen conceded1.40
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.20goals per match
Heracles conceded1.70
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.30
1H goals scored
0.30
0.70
1H goals conceded
0.60
50%5/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
20%2/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.20
2H goals scored
0.90
1.00
2H goals conceded
0.80
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
100%10/10
40%4/10
More goals in 2H
50%5/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
6.50N=10
5.20
Corners against
3.60
9.90
Match total
10.10
50%5/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
40%4/10
40%4/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.60N=10
For
2.20N=10
3.00
Match total
3.20
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

14.00N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
26.20
Match total
21.80

Shots

12.60N=10
Shots
16.10N=10
3.70
On target
5.70
4%
Conversion
7%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches31
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home20.0%22.6%+2.6 pp
Draw20.9%22.6%+1.7 pp
Away59.0%54.8%-4.2 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.577.4%
Over 3.548.4%
BTTS67.7%

Historical average

1.422.23

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.1%
0-116.1%
2-212.9%
2-46.5%
3-36.5%

Comparable corner averages

4.775.16
Average total9.94

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=31.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.558.1%
Over 9.545.2%
Over 10.535.5%
Over 11.529.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches11
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Draw FT18.2%5.1%–47.7% CI
Away FT63.6%35.4%–84.8% CI

Remaining goals

2.36

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals63.6%
3+ goals45.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home54.5%
Away90.9%