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Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30

Heerenveen

vs

Ajax

12.9331.6%
X4.0822.7%
22.0345.7%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
51020Season
Context
Home / AwayOverall
Past seasons
ExcludeInclude
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Heerenveen
WLDLDWWWWW
6W 2D 2L · 2.00 PPM
Ajax
WDWDDDLDWW
4W 5D 1L · 1.70 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.80
1.30
Conceded
1.20
70%
Over 2.5
60%
70%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.50
1.60
2H goals
1.50
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

5.50N=10
For
3.80N=10
3.90
Against
6.00
9.40
Total
9.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

strongBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.80
1.30
Goals conceded
1.20
3.40
Total goals
3.00
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
70%7/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10
70%7/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Heerenveen attack

2.10goals per match
Ajax conceded1.20
Matchup

Ajax attack

1.80goals per match
Heerenveen conceded1.30
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.00
1H goals scored
1.20
0.80
1H goals conceded
0.30
90%9/10
Over 0.5 1H
70%7/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
50%5/10
1.10
2H goals scored
0.60
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.50N=10
Corners for
3.80N=10
3.90
Corners against
6.00
9.40
Match total
9.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
50%5/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
80%8/10
Team over 4.5
30%3/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.50N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.40
Match total
3.40
20%2/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10

Fouls

10.80N=10
Committed
8.60N=10
18.20
Match total
18.10

Shots

16.20N=10
Shots
11.80N=10
6.30
On target
4.80
13%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
AllTop 5CountryLeague
History
3y5y10yAll
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches19
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home31.6%31.6%-0.1 pp
Draw22.7%15.8%-6.9 pp
Away45.7%52.6%+7.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.594.7%
Over 2.584.2%
Over 3.563.2%
BTTS84.2%

Historical average

1.89–2.47

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-210.5%
2-110.5%
2-210.5%
2-310.5%
1-55.3%

Comparable corner averages

5.53–5.11
Average total10.63

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=19.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.578.9%
Over 9.563.2%
Over 10.542.1%
Over 11.531.6%
Half-time score
0-01-00-11-12-00-2Altro
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches34
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT20.6%10.3%–36.8% CI
Draw FT44.1%28.9%–60.5% CI
Away FT35.3%21.5%–52.1% CI

Remaining goals

1.97

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal85.3%
2+ goals70.6%
3+ goals32.4%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.8%
Away73.5%
Related pages

Open the teams, competition or a direct side-by-side comparison without returning to search.

Home teamHeerenveenForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.Away teamAjaxForm, scoring, venue splits and recent matches.CompareHeerenveen vs AjaxCompare both teams across the same current-season window.CompetitionEredivisieLeague results, averages, matchday data and coverage.RankingsEredivisie team rankingsSee how teams in this competition rank across StatsXI metrics.