Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-17 · 13:30
11.3469.2%
X5.1717.9%
27.1912.9%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

AZ Alkmaar
DWDLDWWWWD
5W 4D 1L · 1.90 PPM
NAC Breda
LLDDWLLLDL
1W 3D 6L · 0.60 PPM

Goals

2.00
Scored
0.50
1.00
Conceded
1.80
60%
Over 2.5
40%
60%
BTTS
30%

By half

1.50
1H goals
1.10
1.50
2H goals
1.20
80%
Goal in 2H
70%

Corners

5.60N=10
For
6.10N=10
4.30
Against
4.70
9.90
Total
10.80
Signals

Key historical patterns

strongAt least one second-half goal

8/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateOver 8.5 corners

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.00
Goals scored
0.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.80
3.00
Total goals
2.30
90%9/10
Over 1.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
40%4/10
50%5/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10
60%6/10
BTTS
30%3/10
Matchup

AZ Alkmaar attack

2.00goals per match
NAC Breda conceded1.80
Matchup

NAC Breda attack

0.50goals per match
AZ Alkmaar conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.10
1H goals scored
0.20
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.90
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
60%6/10
50%5/10
Leading at HT
10%1/10
0.90
2H goals scored
0.30
0.60
2H goals conceded
0.90
80%8/10
Over 0.5 2H
70%7/10
30%3/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
5.60N=10
Corners for
6.10N=10
4.30
Corners against
4.70
9.90
Match total
10.80
70%7/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 9.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
50%5/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.20N=10
For
1.60N=10
2.70
Match total
3.10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
30%3/10

Fouls

9.60N=10
Committed
10.80N=10
22.00
Match total
23.50

Shots

15.80N=10
Shots
14.70N=10
5.90
On target
3.90
13%
Conversion
3%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches75
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home69.2%77.3%+8.2 pp
Draw17.9%10.7%-7.3 pp
Away12.9%12.0%-0.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.586.7%
Over 2.572.0%
Over 3.548.0%
BTTS61.3%

Historical average

2.350.99

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

3-116.0%
2-114.7%
2-010.7%
1-09.3%
3-08.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.013.89
Average total9.91

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=75.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.562.7%
Over 9.553.3%
Over 10.546.7%
Over 11.540.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches15
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT80.0%54.8%–93.0% CI
Draw FT13.3%3.7%–37.9% CI
Away FT6.7%1.2%–29.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.80

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal86.7%
2+ goals53.3%
3+ goals33.3%

Who scores in 2H

Home80.0%
Away20.0%