Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:45
11.3270.2%
X5.3917.2%
27.3812.6%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Telstar
DLDLLDWWLW
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Heracles
WDLLLLLLLL
1W 1D 8L · 0.40 PPM

Goals

1.70
Scored
1.00
1.40
Conceded
2.90
60%
Over 2.5
70%
70%
BTTS
60%

By half

1.10
1H goals
1.90
2.00
2H goals
2.00
100%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

4.70N=10
For
4.40N=10
6.30
Against
6.90
11.00
Total
11.30
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

7/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

10/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

very strongOver 8.5 corners

8/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.70
Goals scored
1.00
1.40
Goals conceded
2.90
3.10
Total goals
3.90
90%9/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
70%7/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
70%7/10
BTTS
60%6/10
Matchup

Telstar attack

1.70goals per match
Heracles conceded2.90
Matchup

Heracles attack

1.00goals per match
Telstar conceded1.40
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.40
0.60
1H goals conceded
1.50
80%8/10
Over 0.5 1H
100%10/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
0%0/10
1.20
2H goals scored
0.60
0.80
2H goals conceded
1.40
100%10/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
70%7/10
More goals in 2H
30%3/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.70N=10
Corners for
4.40N=10
6.30
Corners against
6.90
11.00
Match total
11.30
80%8/10
Over 8.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
60%6/10
Team over 4.5
40%4/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.00N=10
For
3.00N=10
2.80
Match total
4.20
20%2/10
Over 3.5
70%7/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
15.30N=10
19.30
Match total
27.30

Shots

11.60N=10
Shots
8.60N=10
4.10
On target
3.20
15%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches100
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home70.2%79.0%+8.8 pp
Draw17.2%13.0%-4.2 pp
Away12.6%8.0%-4.6 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.582.0%
Over 2.565.0%
Over 3.540.0%
BTTS60.0%

Historical average

2.380.88

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-116.0%
1-014.0%
2-011.0%
3-111.0%
4-16.0%

Comparable corner averages

6.783.79
Average total10.57

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=100.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.571.0%
Over 9.564.0%
Over 10.549.0%
Over 11.542.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches21
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT76.2%54.9%–89.4% CI
Draw FT19.0%7.7%–40.0% CI
Away FT4.8%0.8%–22.7% CI

Remaining goals

1.57

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.0%
2+ goals42.9%
3+ goals23.8%

Who scores in 2H

Home76.2%
Away19.0%