Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:45
12.4537.9%
X3.7724.6%
22.4737.5%
Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.
Quick read
Match snapshot
Home vs Away · Last 10
Form
NAC Breda
LDLLDLWDDL
1W 4D 5L · 0.70 PPM
Heerenveen
LWWLWLWDLW
5W 1D 4L · 1.60 PPM
Goals
1.00
Scored
1.70
1.60
Conceded
1.70
30%
Over 2.5
90%
40%
BTTS
50%
By half
1.60
1H goals
1.50
1.00
2H goals
1.90
50%
Goal in 2H
90%
Corners
6.90N=10
For
5.10N=10
4.00
Against
6.10
10.90
Total
11.20
Signals
Key historical patterns
strongOver 8.5 corners
9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.
Team history
Goals
N=10 N=10
1.00
Goals scored
1.70
1.60
Goals conceded
1.70
2.60
Total goals
3.40
Over 1.5
Over 2.5
Over 3.5
BTTS
Matchup
NAC Breda attack
1.00goals per matchHeerenveen conceded1.70Matchup
Heerenveen attack
1.70goals per matchNAC Breda conceded1.60Timing
First & second half
N=10 N=10
0.50
1H goals scored
0.70
1.10
1H goals conceded
0.80
Over 0.5 1H
Leading at HT
0.50
2H goals scored
1.00
0.50
2H goals conceded
0.90
Over 0.5 2H
More goals in 2H
Set pieces
Corners
N=10 N=10
6.90N=10
Corners for
5.10N=10
4.00
Corners against
6.10
10.90
Match total
11.20
Over 8.5
Over 9.5
Team over 4.5
Advanced
Cards, fouls & shots
Yellow cards
1.40N=10
For
1.40N=10
3.60
Match total
2.80
Over 3.5
Fouls
10.10N=10
Committed
11.40N=10
23.50
Match total
19.80
Shots
15.40N=10
Shots
13.30N=10
4.30
On target
4.90
6%
Conversion
13%
Market history
Similar historical matches
low · Tier A
Comparable matches44
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home37.9%45.5%+7.6 pp
Draw24.6%18.2%-6.4 pp
Away37.5%36.4%-1.2 pp
Comparable goal profile
Over 1.588.6%
Over 2.568.2%
Over 3.547.7%
BTTS72.7%
Historical average
1.89–1.59
Historical average score, not a predicted score.
Most common scores
1-113.6%
2-19.1%
1-06.8%
2-36.8%
3-16.8%
Comparable corner averages
5.20–5.25
Average total10.45
Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=44.
Comparable corner totals
Over 8.561.4%
Over 9.552.3%
Over 10.547.7%
Over 11.545.5%
What if?
If half-time is 0-0
Comparable matches10
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT10.0%1.8%–40.4% CI
Draw FT30.0%10.8%–60.3% CI
Away FT60.0%31.3%–83.2% CI
Remaining goals
2.50
Historical average second-half goals.
Second half
1+ goal100.0%
2+ goals100.0%
3+ goals40.0%
Who scores in 2H
Home70.0%
Away100.0%