Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:45
12.7533.7%
X3.8324.2%
22.2042.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Groningen
DWDLLLWWDL
3W 3D 4L · 1.20 PPM
Nijmegen
WWDWWDDWWD
6W 4D 0L · 2.20 PPM

Goals

1.60
Scored
2.40
1.20
Conceded
1.50
80%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
90%

By half

1.20
1H goals
1.80
1.60
2H goals
2.10
70%
Goal in 2H
90%

Corners

7.90N=10
For
6.00N=10
5.50
Against
4.50
13.40
Total
10.50
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

8/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongAt least one second-half goal

7/10 home-side sample · 9/10 away-side sample.

strongOver 8.5 corners

9/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
1.60
Goals scored
2.40
1.20
Goals conceded
1.50
2.80
Total goals
3.90
80%8/10
Over 1.5
100%10/10
80%8/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
30%3/10
Over 3.5
60%6/10
60%6/10
BTTS
90%9/10
Matchup

Groningen attack

1.60goals per match
Nijmegen conceded1.50
Matchup

Nijmegen attack

2.40goals per match
Groningen conceded1.20
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
0.70
1H goals scored
1.00
0.50
1H goals conceded
0.80
70%7/10
Over 0.5 1H
90%9/10
30%3/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.90
2H goals scored
1.40
0.70
2H goals conceded
0.70
70%7/10
Over 0.5 2H
90%9/10
50%5/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
7.90N=10
Corners for
6.00N=10
5.50
Corners against
4.50
13.40
Match total
10.50
90%9/10
Over 8.5
70%7/10
80%8/10
Over 9.5
70%7/10
70%7/10
Team over 4.5
80%8/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

0.80N=10
For
2.00N=10
2.00
Match total
3.10
20%2/10
Over 3.5
20%2/10

Fouls

8.80N=10
Committed
13.70N=10
17.40
Match total
23.50

Shots

18.90N=10
Shots
16.30N=10
5.70
On target
7.40
8%
Conversion
15%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches25
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home33.7%28.0%-5.7 pp
Draw24.2%28.0%+3.8 pp
Away42.1%44.0%+1.9 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.596.0%
Over 2.576.0%
Over 3.564.0%
BTTS84.0%

Historical average

1.762.24

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

2-112.0%
1-312.0%
2-212.0%
1-112.0%
2-48.0%

Comparable corner averages

5.364.72
Average total10.08

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=25.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.564.0%
Over 9.552.0%
Over 10.544.0%
Over 11.528.0%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches16
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT18.8%6.6%–43.0% CI
Draw FT50.0%28.0%–72.0% CI
Away FT31.3%14.2%–55.6% CI

Remaining goals

1.94

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal81.3%
2+ goals75.0%
3+ goals37.5%

Who scores in 2H

Home68.8%
Away75.0%