Eredivisie · 2025/26
2026-05-10 · 15:45
11.6257.4%
X4.3121.6%
24.4121.1%

Average market odds. Implied probabilities are normalized to remove the market margin.

Sample
Context
Past seasons
Quick read

Match snapshot

Home vs Away · Last 10

Form

Ajax
LWWDWWDWLD
5W 3D 2L · 1.80 PPM
Utrecht
DDLDWWDWLL
3W 4D 3L · 1.30 PPM

Goals

2.10
Scored
1.50
1.00
Conceded
1.70
60%
Over 2.5
60%
60%
BTTS
70%

By half

1.80
1H goals
1.40
1.30
2H goals
1.80
90%
Goal in 2H
80%

Corners

4.90N=10
For
5.00N=10
4.00
Against
4.20
8.90
Total
9.20
Signals

Key historical patterns

moderateOver 2.5 goals

6/10 home-side sample · 6/10 away-side sample.

moderateBoth teams scored

6/10 home-side sample · 7/10 away-side sample.

very strongAt least one second-half goal

9/10 home-side sample · 8/10 away-side sample.

Team history

Goals

N=10 N=10
2.10
Goals scored
1.50
1.00
Goals conceded
1.70
3.10
Total goals
3.20
100%10/10
Over 1.5
90%9/10
60%6/10
Over 2.5
60%6/10
40%4/10
Over 3.5
40%4/10
60%6/10
BTTS
70%7/10
Matchup

Ajax attack

2.10goals per match
Utrecht conceded1.70
Matchup

Utrecht attack

1.50goals per match
Ajax conceded1.00
Timing

First & second half

N=10 N=10
1.40
1H goals scored
0.70
0.40
1H goals conceded
0.70
100%10/10
Over 0.5 1H
80%8/10
70%7/10
Leading at HT
40%4/10
0.70
2H goals scored
0.80
0.60
2H goals conceded
1.00
90%9/10
Over 0.5 2H
80%8/10
10%1/10
More goals in 2H
40%4/10
Set pieces

Corners

N=10 N=10
4.90N=10
Corners for
5.00N=10
4.00
Corners against
4.20
8.90
Match total
9.20
50%5/10
Over 8.5
60%6/10
50%5/10
Over 9.5
50%5/10
50%5/10
Team over 4.5
60%6/10
Advanced

Cards, fouls & shots

Yellow cards

1.40N=10
For
2.00N=10
3.00
Match total
3.30
30%3/10
Over 3.5
50%5/10

Fouls

9.80N=10
Committed
11.50N=10
22.90
Match total
21.50

Shots

16.60N=10
Shots
12.90N=10
6.60
On target
5.60
13%
Conversion
12%
Historical scope
History
Market history

Similar historical matches

low · Tier A
Comparable matches18
Method1X2 + O/U + AH
WeightingNone
MarketHistoryΔ
Home57.4%50.0%-7.4 pp
Draw21.6%38.9%+17.3 pp
Away21.1%11.1%-10.0 pp

Comparable goal profile

Over 1.577.8%
Over 2.555.6%
Over 3.533.3%
BTTS61.1%

Historical average

1.780.94

Historical average score, not a predicted score.

Most common scores

1-116.7%
0-016.7%
3-211.1%
3-011.1%
2-05.6%

Comparable corner averages

6.724.89
Average total11.61

Home – away corner average · Corner sample N=18.

Comparable corner totals

Over 8.572.2%
Over 9.561.1%
Over 10.555.6%
Over 11.555.6%
Half-time score
What if?

If half-time is 0-0

Comparable matches12
Exact HT state0-0
Sample qualitylimited
Home FT33.3%13.8%–60.9% CI
Draw FT50.0%25.4%–74.6% CI
Away FT16.7%4.7%–44.8% CI

Remaining goals

1.25

Historical average second-half goals.

Second half

1+ goal66.7%
2+ goals41.7%
3+ goals16.7%

Who scores in 2H

Home58.3%
Away41.7%